GPU-CFR: 80x Faster Counterfactual Regret Minimization by Compiling the Game to Static Dataflow and CUDA Graph Replay
Boning Li, Longbo Huang
Counterfactual regret minimization (CFR) is one of the few large numerical workloads that still runs faster on CPUs than on GPUs. Each iteration sweeps a game tree with up to billions of states in millions of small, interdependent gather and scatter steps issued through a generic tree interface. On a GPU every kernel finishes in microseconds, so kernel launches and framework dispatch dominate the run time, and prior GPU implementations have lost to optimized CPU code. We observe that for a fixed game, everything about a CFR iteration except the numerical values is known before the first iteration runs. We propose GPU-CFR, a compiler and runtime built on this observation. It compiles any game once into static dataflow: flat edge and information-set arrays, precomputed indices, and depth-level batched passes fix the entire operation sequence, and only solver state changes between iterations. Static chance folding, depth-level execution blocks, and a dual-lane reach buffer cut the number of framework operations by up to 18.1x. Because shapes, indices, and buffer addresses never change, CUDA Graph Replay records the iteration once and replays it with a single graph launch. On one A100, across an eight-game suite that spans card games, dice games, and board games, GPU-CFR runs 29.8--80.4x faster than the fastest prior GPU CFR on the same accelerator, and 14--258x faster than LiteEFG, one of the fastest open-source CPU implementations, on the four largest games. The compiled representation carries most of that margin: on eight CPU threads with no accelerator it is already 2.2--51.1x faster than the GPU baseline. On the CPU the optimized path reproduces the reference iterates bitwise, and tree construction and graph capture pay for themselves within the first solve. GPU-CFR beats every CPU and GPU baseline on the mid-to-large games of the suite without changing the update rule.
General Quantification of Covariate and Concept Shifts
Hongbo Chen, Li Charlie Xia
Generalization under distribution shift remains a core challenge in modern machine learning, yet existing learning bound theory is limited to narrow, idealized settings and is non-estimable from samples. In this paper, we bridge the gap between theory and practical applications. We first show that existing definition of concept shift breaks when the source and target supports mismatch. Leveraging entropic optimal transport, we propose a key notion: $γ^{*}\!$-concept shifts, and derive a general error bound unifying covariate and $γ^{*}\!$-concept shifts, which applies to broad loss functions, label spaces, and stochastic labeling. We further develop estimators for these shifts with concentration guarantees, and the DataShifts algorithm, which can quantify distribution shifts and estimate the error bound in most applications - a rigorous and general tool for analyzing learning error under distribution shift.
Can Edge-Deployable Vision-Language Models Identify Species?
William Zhou, Mayukha Siripuram, Xiao Yan et al.
Camera traps often run in the field on edge hardware with limited or no connectivity, making small, locally-deployable vision-language models (VLMs) -- not frontier-scale ones -- the practically relevant class to evaluate for species identification. We test whether models in this deployment-relevant 2--8B range carry genuine taxonomic knowledge, evaluating four such VLMs (Qwen3-VL 2B/4B/8B, Gemma3 4B) against the domain-specific specialist BioCLIP (300M parameters) on a 96-species task, comparing clean iNaturalist photographs against camera-trap imagery from 6 LILA.science collections, on two independently-sampled evaluation sets. All models identify species far above chance, but every model -- general-purpose or specialist -- degrades sharply on field imagery (domain gaps of 9.6--26.6 percentage points, consistent across taxonomic levels and both evaluation sets), indicating the degradation reflects general image legibility rather than fine-grained discrimination failure. BioCLIP substantially outperforms every VLM tested (by 33.2--59.2 percentage points across an expanded 200-image sample for every model) despite its far smaller size, suggesting the gap reflects specialized training data rather than model scale; yet BioCLIP's own domain gap (18.0 points) is statistically indistinguishable from the best VLM's (22.3 points), suggesting the clean-to-field degradation itself is a property of the image-quality shift rather than a general-purpose-model weakness. Under open-set prompting, 5.9--9.6% of responses are syntactically valid but taxonomically nonexistent species names; the relative fabrication-rate ranking across models replicates exactly across both evaluation sets, a more robust finding than any single point estimate.
Generative Marketing Mix Modeling: A Causal Inference Framework Linking GEO and GEM to Business Impact
Masahiro Kato, Daiki Honma, Taka Kato
Generative artificial intelligence changes how firms reach customers, but standard marketing data do not record how often users see and notice a firm's name in generated answers. We develop Generative Marketing Mix Modeling (GMMM) to estimate the causal effects of Generative Engine Optimization (GEO) and Generative Engine Marketing (GEM). For GEO, GMMM combines repeated generated answers with question counts, shares of use across generative systems, and notice probabilities. For GEM, it combines records of sponsored placements with notice probabilities. GMMM compares expected business responses under alternative treatment sequences and establishes sufficient conditions for identifying the resulting effects. We investigate the empirical performance of the proposed method using simulated answers to product recommendation in English and Japanese.
Artificial Id: Drive and Persistent Alignment in Agentic AI
Yakov Pyotr Shkolnikov
Agentic AI is moving from bounded task execution toward systems that retain consequential state, continue operating and adapt across task boundaries. That shift creates a control problem that current harnesses largely solve by hand: objectives, retries, verification, stopping rules and other behavioral transitions are specified externally. We propose an artificial id, an adaptive internal drive for determining whether behavior should continue, stop or change. In a minimal virtual Petri-dish experiment, a controller too small to perform general-purpose reasoning and receiving no task-specific behavioral objective develops useful control through differential persistence. The same mechanism selects an unintended physical strategy when that behavior persists better and later replaces a learned sensor mapping when its environmental meaning changes. These results show that adaptive direction can emerge without being explicitly specified as a behavioral objective. The same persistence that makes such adaptive agency useful can also allow misalignment, corrupted state and unintended behavior to persist across task boundaries. A scalable artificial id would carry consequential state and adaptive drive across those boundaries, making alignment a property of the continuing agentic system rather than of a model response or single trajectory. Such systems require a persistent alignment boundary over trusted observations, consequence channels, persistent state, authority, identity, provenance and hard constraints.
MindTopo: Can Foundation Models Reason in Topological Space?
Yunfei Ge, Anbang Liu, Qineng Wang et al.
Spatial reasoning depends not only on metric properties such as distance, angle, and shape, but also on topological relations that remain invariant under continuous deformation. Cognitive science identifies these relations as foundational to spatial understanding, yet foundation-model evaluations largely focus on metric or viewpoint-dependent relations. We introduce MindTopo, a benchmark of topological intuition across five properties grounded in cognitive science and formal topology: continuity, separation, order, enclosure, and knots. MindTopo evaluates each property at two cognitive levels. Reasoning asks a model to identify topological relations or infer how they change. Planning instantiates a foundation model as a closed-loop agent whose policy selects environment actions. MindTopo contains 11,030 instances across 13 procedurally generated task types with controllable difficulty. We benchmark 14 MLLMs and study agent configurations augmented with image and video generation, including 3 video generative models in planning settings. Every MLLM performs better on reasoning than on planning, and the best-performing model remains far below observed human performance. On Qwen3-VL-2B-Instruct, supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning improve reasoning more than planning. Generated observations retain local cues and reach plausible endpoints, but audited rollouts do not reliably follow environment dynamics or preserve topology across transitions. Our website is at https://mind-topo.github.io/
Domain-Specific Hallucination Detection in Large Language Models
Varun Teja Chundru, Debasmita Biswas
Large language models generate fluent text that can contain unfaithful claims -- a phenomenon known as hallucination. We present a multi-signal detection pipeline combining fine-tuned DeBERTa-v3 classification, Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout uncertainty quantification, and temperature-scaled calibration for response-level hallucination detection. Evaluated on the HaluEval benchmark, our pipeline achieves F1=0.915 and AUROC=0.977 on general-domain tasks, with per-task F1 scores of 0.97 (QA), 0.96 (Summarization), and 0.82 (Dialogue). MC Dropout inference further improves accuracy to 93.2%. A context ablation study confirms the model performs genuine entailment reasoning rather than exploiting surface patterns, with summarization F1 dropping 24% when knowledge context is removed. Learning curve analysis reveals that 25% of training data captures 77% of full-data performance. Beyond detection, we apply Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) to a Qwen2.5-0.5B generator, reducing its hallucination rate from 85.5% to 37.7% (55.9% relative reduction) as measured by our detector. Cross-domain evaluation on the SciFact biomedical benchmark shows that general-domain training transfers poorly (F1=0.52), motivating domain-specific fine-tuning. PubMedBERT fine-tuned on SciFact achieves F1=0.63 and AUROC=0.81, demonstrating that domain-matched pre-training is the strongest adaptation strategy. Code and models are available at https://github.com/varunteja99/hallucination-detection-nlp
Biology-in-the-loop: Amortized Adaptive Hit Discovery in CRISPR Screens
Carl Edwards, Edward De Brouwer, Xiner Li et al.
Many biological discovery problems require experiments to be selected sequentially under constrained budgets. CRISPR screening is a prominent example, as exhaustive perturbation testing is often infeasible and candidate perturbations must instead be prioritized over multiple experimental rounds. Despite the importance of this problem, existing benchmarks for adaptive hit discovery remain limited in scale and diversity. Here, we introduce AssayBench-Loop, a large-scale benchmark for adaptive hit discovery comprising 1,389 CRISPR screens across five phenotype categories. Beyond enabling systematic evaluation, its scale makes it possible to learn acquisition strategies across historical experiments. Building on this resource, we introduce AssayLoop, a sequential experimental design framework combining AssayFormer, a transformer-based amortized acquisition policy trained across historical screens to adapt from experimental feedback, with LLM-derived biological priors through an adaptive handoff. In this view, completed experiments become training data for learning how accumulated evidence should guide what to test next, while LLMs provide prior biological knowledge to seed the search. We further introduce AssayLLM, showing that the same principle can be extended directly to an LLM through task-specific post-training. On temporally held-out screens, AssayLoop achieves a 5.67-fold enrichment over random selection and recovers 27.7% of hits after assaying approximately 5% of the candidate library, outperforming existing adaptive-design methods and standalone LLMs, and AssayFormer alone. Performance improves with increasing historical training data and transfers to phenotype categories excluded from training. These results demonstrate the value of learning acquisition policies across historical experiments and combining them with broad biological priors for efficient adaptive hit discovery.
On the Regularization Landscape for the Linear Recommendation Models
Dong Li, Zhenming Liu, Ruoming Jin et al.
Recently, a wide range of recommendation algorithms inspired by deep learning techniques have emerged as the performance leaders on several standard recommendation benchmarks. While these algorithms were built on different DL techniques (e.g., dropouts, autoencoder), they have similar performance and even similar cost functions. This paper studies whether the models' comparable performance are sheer coincidence, or they can be unified under a single framework. We find that all linear performance leaders effectively add only a nuclear-norm based regularizer, or a Frobenius-norm based regularizer. The former ones possess a (surprising) rigid structure that limits the models' predictive power but their solutions are low rank and have closed form. The latter ones are more expressive and more efficient for recommendation but their solutions are either full-rank or require executing hard-to-tune numeric procedures such as ADMM. Along this line of finding, we further propose two low-rank, closed-form solutions, derived from carefully generalizing Frobenius-norm based regularizers. The new solutions get the best of both nuclear-norm and Frobenius-norm world.
The Last AI Built by Humans: Toward Genuine Recursive Self-Improvement
Yi Duan, Ying Liu, Zirui Tang et al.
Recursive self-improvement (RSI) enables AI systems to turn experience and feedback into persistent changes that improve both their capabilities and the process of future improvement. We first use the Headroom-Closed Index (HCI) to reveal the problems of existing LLMs, then introduce the RSI concept and its development roadmap: from improvement-execution autonomy, improvement-strategy autonomy, experience-acquisition autonomy, and environment-adaptation autonomy, to recursive meta-improvement. Next we examine RSI across scenarios (e.g., scientific discovery, embodied intelligence, software engineering), highlighting their distinct requirements and development speeds. Drawing on diverse industry practices and preliminary empirical evidence, we connect RSI research with practical systems and identify key challenges to achieving genuine RSI.
Papers are fetched directly from the arXiv API. arXiv is a free, open-access archive for scholarly articles in physics, mathematics, computer science, and related fields. It is owned and operated by Cornell University.
This feed automatically updates. We do not modify or summarize papers without proper attribution.
Want to understand these papers? Start with our educational content.